Surprise Risk · Overrun + Forced
Outage-Risk Radar
Where nuclear supply is most likely to move against the market: outages that run long, and units carrying forced-outage exposure. Projected and observed, not a guarantee.
Outage overrun is one of three numbers nobody else publishes. The operator files a return-to-service date. This is how many days past it the outage will actually run. No other vendor publishes a number for this at all. Everything on this page is built on it. See who is exposed
See which units could surprise the market
Rank every unit by the supply it could pull from the grid unexpectedly: model-projected outage overruns and live forced-outage exposure, rolled up by ISO. Updated every morning.
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